Is a Recession Locked In? Traders Assign High Odds to Economic Trouble Ahead

Trade wars, collapsing confidence, and stubborn inflation have kept Polymarket’s recession odds at 57%—signaling a bumpy economic road ahead. Economy on Edge This year, U.S. recession odds have climbed amid escalating tariffs, reciprocal trade measures, waning business confidence, decelerating job growth, and enduring inflation, all of which are chipping away at economic stability and dimming […]